Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Eduardo Guerrero remove | Tomas Cvancara remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 26 | 25 |
| Position | Striker | Striker |
| Club · league | Dynamo Kyiv · Premier Liga | Celtic FC · Scottish Premiership |
| League strength | 0.25 | 0.31 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1324 | 1273 |
| League minutes | 1100 (41%) | 1056 (35%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.49 | 0.43 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.36 | 0.36 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 31 | 41 |
| Market value | €2.5M | €2.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €1.0M – €3.0M | €869k – €2.2M |
| Model value | €586k – €2.4M | €1.2M – €2.8M |
| Projected value (24m) | €1.0M – €2.8M | €717k – €2.6M |
| Bargain Index | 49/100 | 62/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€1.0M – €3.0M Model value (performance-implied)€586k – €2.4M Projected value (24 months)€1.0M – €2.8M Dashed line: current market value (€2.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€869k – €2.2M Model value (performance-implied)€1.2M – €2.8M Projected value (24 months)€717k – €2.6M Dashed line: current market value (€2.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Eduardo Guerrero and Tomas Cvancara
- On value for money the model prefers Cvancara (Bargain Index 62 vs 49) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Guerrero Moderate, Cvancara High.