Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Noni Madueke remove | Gabriel Martinelli remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 24 | 25 |
| Position | Right winger | Left winger |
| Club · league | Arsenal FC · Premier League | Arsenal FC · Premier League |
| League strength | 1.30 | 1.30 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1876 | 1876 |
| League minutes | 1217 (36%) | 1073 (31%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.30 | 0.42 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 94 | 97 |
| Market value | €50.0M | €45.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €32.6M – €74.2M | €20.6M – €53.1M |
| Model value | €29.6M – €61.1M | €38.3M – €66.3M |
| Projected value (24m) | €24.5M – €61.5M | €19.6M – €53.5M |
| Bargain Index | 12/100 | 66/100 |
| Development | Moderate | Moderate |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€32.6M – €74.2M Model value (performance-implied)€29.6M – €61.1M Projected value (24 months)€24.5M – €61.5M Dashed line: current market value (€50.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€20.6M – €53.1M Model value (performance-implied)€38.3M – €66.3M Projected value (24 months)€19.6M – €53.5M Dashed line: current market value (€45.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Noni Madueke and Gabriel Martinelli
- Martinelli is estimated to cost far less (€27.5M vs €52.7M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Martinelli (Bargain Index 66 vs 12) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Madueke Moderate, Martinelli High.