Player Comparison

Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.

Efecan Karaca removePablo Álvarez remove
Age3629
PositionAttacking midfielderDefensive midfielder
Club · leagueAlanyaspor · Super LigKarpaty Lviv · Premier Liga
League strength0.400.25
Team strength (Elo)12291213
League minutes504 (17%)1010 (37%)
G+A per 90 (raw)0.000.27
G+A per 90 (context-adjusted)0.250.20
Passing / defending / progressionData unavailableData unavailable
Performance percentile2016
Market value€100k€1.2M
Estimated acquisition€23k – €170k€0 – €394k
Model value€80k – €253k€289k – €993k
Projected value (24m)€85k – €101k€377k – €1.1M
Bargain IndexNo index78/100
DevelopmentLowLow
Breakout probabilityn/a (age > 23)n/a (age > 23)
RiskVery HighVery High
Data confidenceLowMedium
Value picture
Estimated acquisition€23k – €170k
Model value (performance-implied)€80k – €253k
Projected value (24 months)€85k – €101k
Dashed line: current market value (€100k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.
Estimated acquisition€0 – €394k
Model value (performance-implied)€289k – €993k
Projected value (24 months)€377k – €1.1M
Dashed line: current market value (€1.2M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

What separates Efecan Karaca and Pablo Álvarez

  • Álvarez is 7 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
  • Karaca plays in a stronger league (0.40 vs 0.25); the other's output carries more translation uncertainty.
  • Álvarez was used far more by the club (37% of minutes vs 17%).