Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Pathé Ciss remove | Gerard Gumbau remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 32 | 31 |
| Position | Central midfielder | Defensive midfielder |
| Club · league | Rayo Vallecano · Laliga | Rayo Vallecano · Laliga |
| League strength | 0.95 | 0.95 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1518 | 1518 |
| League minutes | 1994 (58%) | 1172 (34%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.14 | 0.23 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.19 | 0.19 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 79 | 66 |
| Market value | €1.8M | €1.2M |
| Estimated acquisition | €475k – €1.4M | €360k – €1.1M |
| Model value | €1.5M – €3.7M | €1.3M – €4.4M |
| Projected value (24m) | €514k – €1.2M | €380k – €1.0M |
| Bargain Index | 50/100 | 66/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | High | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€475k – €1.4M Model value (performance-implied)€1.5M – €3.7M Projected value (24 months)€514k – €1.2M Dashed line: current market value (€1.8M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€360k – €1.1M Model value (performance-implied)€1.3M – €4.4M Projected value (24 months)€380k – €1.0M Dashed line: current market value (€1.2M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Pathé Ciss and Gerard Gumbau
- Ciss was used far more by the club (58% of minutes vs 34%).
- On value for money the model prefers Gumbau (Bargain Index 66 vs 50) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.