Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| İlkay Gündoğan remove | Roman Zobnin remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 35 | 32 |
| Position | Central midfielder | Central midfielder |
| Club · league | Galatasaray · Super Lig | FK Spartak Moskva · Premier Liga |
| League strength | 0.40 | 0.56 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1501 | 1443 |
| League minutes | 1391 (46%) | 1246 (46%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.39 | 0.22 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.16 | 0.18 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 89 | 54 |
| Market value | €2.0M | €2.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €559k – €1.7M | €498k – €1.5M |
| Model value | €1.3M – €3.2M | €791k – €2.2M |
| Projected value (24m) | €481k – €1.5M | €429k – €1.3M |
| Bargain Index | No index | 19/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Very High | Very High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€559k – €1.7M Model value (performance-implied)€1.3M – €3.2M Projected value (24 months)€481k – €1.5M Dashed line: current market value (€2.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€498k – €1.5M Model value (performance-implied)€791k – €2.2M Projected value (24 months)€429k – €1.3M Dashed line: current market value (€2.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates İlkay Gündoğan and Roman Zobnin
- Zobnin is 3 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- Zobnin plays in a stronger league (0.56 vs 0.40); the other's output carries more translation uncertainty.