Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| João Goulart remove | Idar Shumakhov remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 26 | 27 |
| Position | Centre-back | Centre-back |
| Club · league | Casa Pia AC · Liga Portugal | Dinamo Makhachkala · Premier Liga |
| League strength | 0.58 | 0.56 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1225 | 1214 |
| League minutes | 1914 (63%) | 1503 (56%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.05 | 0.06 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.07 | 0.08 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 30 | 23 |
| Market value | €1.5M | €1.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €480k – €1.2M | €306k – €782k |
| Model value | €585k – €1.1M | €624k – €1.1M |
| Projected value (24m) | €709k – €1.9M | €475k – €1.2M |
| Bargain Index | 92/100 | 83/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | High | Very High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€480k – €1.2M Model value (performance-implied)€585k – €1.1M Projected value (24 months)€709k – €1.9M Dashed line: current market value (€1.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€306k – €782k Model value (performance-implied)€624k – €1.1M Projected value (24 months)€475k – €1.2M Dashed line: current market value (€1.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates João Goulart and Idar Shumakhov
- Shumakhov is estimated to cost far less (€408k vs €641k mid-estimate).
- Risk differs: Goulart High, Shumakhov Very High.