Player Comparison

Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.

João Mário removeThierry Correia remove
Age2627
PositionRight-backRight-back
Club · leagueBologna Football Club 1909 · Serie AValencia CF · Laliga
League strength0.930.95
Team strength (Elo)15461497
League minutes994 (29%)1394 (41%)
G+A per 90 (raw)0.090.13
G+A per 90 (context-adjusted)0.140.15
Passing / defending / progressionData unavailableData unavailable
Performance percentile6561
Market value€8.0M€2.5M
Estimated acquisition€3.4M – €8.3M€776k – €2.1M
Model value€2.8M – €7.0M€1.8M – €5.1M
Projected value (24m)€3.1M – €8.8M€1.1M – €3.5M
Bargain Index11/10092/100
DevelopmentLowLow
Breakout probabilityn/a (age > 23)n/a (age > 23)
RiskModerateModerate
Data confidenceMediumMedium
Value picture
Estimated acquisition€3.4M – €8.3M
Model value (performance-implied)€2.8M – €7.0M
Projected value (24 months)€3.1M – €8.8M
Dashed line: current market value (€8.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.
Estimated acquisition€776k – €2.1M
Model value (performance-implied)€1.8M – €5.1M
Projected value (24 months)€1.1M – €3.5M
Dashed line: current market value (€2.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

What separates João Mário and Thierry Correia

  • Correia is estimated to cost far less (€1.0M vs €6.5M mid-estimate).
  • On value for money the model prefers Correia (Bargain Index 92 vs 11) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.