Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Sebastiano Esposito remove | Andrej Ilic remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 24 | 26 |
| Position | Second striker | Striker |
| Club · league | Cagliari Calcio · Serie A | 1.FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga |
| League strength | 0.93 | 0.94 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1376 | 1392 |
| League minutes | 2702 (79%) | 2257 (74%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.64 | 0.63 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 67 | 63 |
| Market value | €15.0M | €9.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €12.0M – €21.3M | €4.2M – €11.1M |
| Model value | €4.2M – €28.3M | €2.9M – €13.0M |
| Projected value (24m) | €7.6M – €26.0M | €4.5M – €14.0M |
| Bargain Index | 41/100 | 70/100 |
| Development | Moderate | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Low | Low |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€12.0M – €21.3M Model value (performance-implied)€4.2M – €28.3M Projected value (24 months)€7.6M – €26.0M Dashed line: current market value (€15.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€4.2M – €11.1M Model value (performance-implied)€2.9M – €13.0M Projected value (24 months)€4.5M – €14.0M Dashed line: current market value (€9.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Sebastiano Esposito and Andrej Ilic
- Esposito is 2 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- Ilic is estimated to cost far less (€5.6M vs €15.1M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Ilic (Bargain Index 70 vs 41) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.