Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Francisco Ortega remove | Stavro Pilo remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 27 | 25 |
| Position | Left-back | Left-back |
| Club · league | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios · Super League 1 | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos · Super League 1 |
| League strength | 0.42 | 0.42 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1550 | 1512 |
| League minutes | 1338 (57%) | 1242 (53%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.27 | 0.14 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.15 | 0.11 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 69 | 61 |
| Market value | €7.0M | €2.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €3.6M – €7.9M | €763k – €2.2M |
| Model value | €1.9M – €9.1M | €1.1M – €5.3M |
| Projected value (24m) | €2.6M – €8.1M | €914k – €4.1M |
| Bargain Index | 28/100 | 98/100 |
| Development | Low | Moderate |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€3.6M – €7.9M Model value (performance-implied)€1.9M – €9.1M Projected value (24 months)€2.6M – €8.1M Dashed line: current market value (€7.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€763k – €2.2M Model value (performance-implied)€1.1M – €5.3M Projected value (24 months)€914k – €4.1M Dashed line: current market value (€2.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Francisco Ortega and Stavro Pilo
- Pilo is estimated to cost far less (€1.0M vs €5.5M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Pilo (Bargain Index 98 vs 28) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Ortega Moderate, Pilo High.