Stavro Pilo
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Stavro Pilo's performance-implied value at EUR 1.1M-5.3M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.8M-2.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.9M-4.1M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 98
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 61.2th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 25.6 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €1.0M vs market €2.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | +2% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1242 (53% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.14
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.11
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 61 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.42 (rank 16)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1512
- Opponent strength
- 1250
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €914k – €4.1M
Trajectory drivers: team strength up (+61 Elo); league level up (+40 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -21% (IQR -54% to +93%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
- ⚠Limited sample: 1242 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 25 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 55%–230%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 68%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | Super League 1 | LB | 20 | 1242 | 53% | 0 | 2 | 0.14 | 0.11 | 1250 | 1512 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | Super League 1 | LB | 14 | 1014 | 43% | 1 | 1 | 0.18 | 0.09 | 1232 | 1450 | 0.35 |
| 2023/24 | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | Super League 1 | LB | 10 | 728 | 31% | 0 | 2 | 0.25 | 0.12 | 1219 | 1472 | 0.42 |
| 2022/23 | PAS Giannina | Super League 1 | LB | 17 | 1530 | 65% | 0 | 2 | 0.12 | 0.17 | 1251 | 1182 | 0.37 |
| 2020/21 | PAS Giannina | Super League 1 | LB | 2 | 91 | 4% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.17 | 1250 | 1197 | 0.39 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | 6 | 524 | 0 | 2 | 1449 |
| 2025/26 | Kypello Elladas | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | 1 | 74 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Kypello Elladas | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | 1 | 70 | 0 | 0 | 1446 |
| 2023/24 | Kypello Elladas | Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos | 2 | 148 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Kypello Elladas | PAS Giannina | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Kypello Elladas | PAS Giannina | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yassine Meriah Super League 1 · 2019 | 26 | €2.0M | €2.0M | flat |
| Oleksandr Tymchyk Premier Liga · 2023 | 26 | €3.0M | €5.0M | rose |
| Greg Taylor Scottish Premiership · 2022 | 25 | €2.5M | €7.5M | rose |
| Nicolai Boilesen Eredivisie · 2015 | 23 | €2.3M | €1.0M | fell |
| Georgios Tzavellas Super League 1 · 2014 | 27 | €2.0M | €1.3M | fell |
| Eduard Sobol Jupiler Pro League · 2022 | 27 | €3.2M | €1.5M | fell |
| Bruno Viana Super League 1 · 2017 | 22 | €1.8M | €6.0M | rose |
| Boli Bolingoli Scottish Premiership · 2020 | 25 | €2.4M | €1.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2023 | PAS Giannina | AEK Athens | Free / loan | €500k |
| 30 Jun 2022 | Iraklis | PAS Giannina | Free / loan | €200k |
| 24 Aug 2021 | PAS Giannina | Iraklis | Free / loan | €50k |
| 1 Jan 2019 | PAS U19 | PAS Giannina | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.