Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Devyne Rensch remove | Arthur remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 23 | 23 |
| Position | Left midfielder | Right midfielder |
| Club · league | Associazione Sportiva Roma · Serie A | Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga |
| League strength | 0.93 | 0.94 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1638 | 1626 |
| League minutes | 1179 (35%) | 1132 (37%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.46 | 0.32 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.33 | 0.19 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 74 | 74 |
| Market value | €8.5M | €8.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €6.1M – €13.0M | €5.9M – €12.2M |
| Model value | €10.2M – €21.9M | €6.9M – €15.2M |
| Projected value (24m) | €4.4M – €13.6M | €5.0M – €15.3M |
| Bargain Index | 38/100 | 60/100 |
| Development | Moderate | Moderate |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€6.1M – €13.0M Model value (performance-implied)€10.2M – €21.9M Projected value (24 months)€4.4M – €13.6M Dashed line: current market value (€8.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€5.9M – €12.2M Model value (performance-implied)€6.9M – €15.2M Projected value (24 months)€5.0M – €15.3M Dashed line: current market value (€8.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Devyne Rensch and Arthur
- Rensch has higher context-adjusted goal contributions (0.33 vs 0.19 per 90).
- On value for money the model prefers Arthur (Bargain Index 60 vs 38) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.