Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Taiga Hata remove | Tiago Araújo remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 24 | 25 |
| Position | Left-back | Left-back |
| Club · league | Sint-Truidense VV · Jupiler Pro League | KAA Gent · Jupiler Pro League |
| League strength | 0.65 | 0.65 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1401 | 1403 |
| League minutes | 2014 (75%) | 1800 (67%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.18 | 0.30 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.16 | 0.21 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 36 | 43 |
| Market value | €2.5M | €2.5M |
| Estimated acquisition | €1.5M – €4.2M | €1.3M – €3.9M |
| Model value | €847k – €2.5M | €841k – €4.0M |
| Projected value (24m) | €1.3M – €4.9M | €1.1M – €3.7M |
| Bargain Index | 66/100 | 51/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€1.5M – €4.2M Model value (performance-implied)€847k – €2.5M Projected value (24 months)€1.3M – €4.9M Dashed line: current market value (€2.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€1.3M – €3.9M Model value (performance-implied)€841k – €4.0M Projected value (24 months)€1.1M – €3.7M Dashed line: current market value (€2.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Taiga Hata and Tiago Araújo
- On value for money the model prefers Hata (Bargain Index 66 vs 51) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.