Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Leonardo Balerdi remove | Jhon Lucumí remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 27 | 28 |
| Position | Centre-back | Centre-back |
| Club · league | Olympique Marseille · Ligue 1 | Bologna Football Club 1909 · Serie A |
| League strength | 0.88 | 0.93 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1504 | 1523 |
| League minutes | 1998 (65%) | 2287 (67%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.04 | 0.04 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 83 | 88 |
| Market value | €18.0M | €22.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €12.5M – €21.6M | €8.4M – €19.8M |
| Model value | €5.6M – €16.8M | €8.8M – €25.9M |
| Projected value (24m) | €6.5M – €15.7M | €7.3M – €16.6M |
| Bargain Index | 4/100 | 26/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Low | Low |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€12.5M – €21.6M Model value (performance-implied)€5.6M – €16.8M Projected value (24 months)€6.5M – €15.7M Dashed line: current market value (€18.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€8.4M – €19.8M Model value (performance-implied)€8.8M – €25.9M Projected value (24 months)€7.3M – €16.6M Dashed line: current market value (€22.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Leonardo Balerdi and Jhon Lucumí
- On value for money the model prefers Lucumí (Bargain Index 26 vs 4) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.