Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Denso Kasius remove | Anton Gaaei remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 23 | 23 |
| Position | Right-back | Right-back |
| Club · league | AZ Alkmaar · Eredivisie | Ajax Amsterdam · Eredivisie |
| League strength | 0.43 | 0.43 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1393 | 1405 |
| League minutes | 1219 (40%) | 1793 (59%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 44 | 50 |
| Market value | €6.0M | €5.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €3.2M – €7.7M | €2.1M – €5.5M |
| Model value | €1.2M – €2.7M | €1.1M – €7.3M |
| Projected value (24m) | €2.9M – €10.4M | €2.3M – €6.8M |
| Bargain Index | 49/100 | 63/100 |
| Development | Low | Moderate |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | High | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€3.2M – €7.7M Model value (performance-implied)€1.2M – €2.7M Projected value (24 months)€2.9M – €10.4M Dashed line: current market value (€6.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€2.1M – €5.5M Model value (performance-implied)€1.1M – €7.3M Projected value (24 months)€2.3M – €6.8M Dashed line: current market value (€5.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Denso Kasius and Anton Gaaei
- Gaaei was used far more by the club (59% of minutes vs 40%).
- On value for money the model prefers Gaaei (Bargain Index 63 vs 49) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Kasius High, Gaaei Moderate.