Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Rayan Aït-Nouri remove | Ian Maatsen remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 25 | 24 |
| Position | Left-back | Left-back |
| Club · league | Manchester City · Premier League | Aston Villa · Premier League |
| League strength | 1.30 | 1.30 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1809 | 1721 |
| League minutes | 976 (28%) | 1599 (47%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.18 | 0.11 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 93 | 93 |
| Market value | €40.0M | €30.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €24.6M – €55.3M | €18.8M – €41.5M |
| Model value | €24.5M – €41.0M | €22.2M – €35.0M |
| Projected value (24m) | €18.7M – €43.3M | €20.2M – €41.2M |
| Bargain Index | 16/100 | 20/100 |
| Development | Moderate | Moderate |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | Low |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€24.6M – €55.3M Model value (performance-implied)€24.5M – €41.0M Projected value (24 months)€18.7M – €43.3M Dashed line: current market value (€40.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€18.8M – €41.5M Model value (performance-implied)€22.2M – €35.0M Projected value (24 months)€20.2M – €41.2M Dashed line: current market value (€30.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Rayan Aït-Nouri and Ian Maatsen
- Maatsen was used far more by the club (47% of minutes vs 28%).
- Risk differs: Aït-Nouri Moderate, Maatsen Low.