Player Comparison

Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.

Jude Bellingham removeArda Güler remove
Age2321
PositionAttacking midfielderAttacking midfielder
Club · leagueReal Madrid · LaligaReal Madrid · Laliga
League strength0.950.95
Team strength (Elo)17451745
League minutes1918 (56%)2027 (59%)
G+A per 90 (raw)0.470.58
G+A per 90 (context-adjusted)0.340.38
Passing / defending / progressionData unavailableData unavailable
Performance percentile9895
Market value€130M€90.0M
Estimated acquisition€84.3M – €159M€67.1M – €122M
Model value€40.9M – €111M€37.9M – €80.9M
Projected value (24m)€61.1M – €131M€56.1M – €120M
Bargain Index12/10022/100
DevelopmentModerateHigh
Breakout probabilityn/a (age > 23)5%
RiskLowLow
Data confidenceMediumMedium
Value picture
Estimated acquisition€84.3M – €159M
Model value (performance-implied)€40.9M – €111M
Projected value (24 months)€61.1M – €131M
Dashed line: current market value (€130M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.
Estimated acquisition€67.1M – €122M
Model value (performance-implied)€37.9M – €80.9M
Projected value (24 months)€56.1M – €120M
Dashed line: current market value (€90.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

What separates Jude Bellingham and Arda Güler

  • The two profiles are close on every dimension the current data measures.