Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Yannick Cappelle remove | Danila Vedernikov remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 22 | 25 |
| Position | Left-back | Left-back |
| Club · league | Zulte Waregem · Jupiler Pro League | FC Orenburg · Premier Liga |
| League strength | 0.65 | 0.56 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1228 | 1218 |
| League minutes | 1757 (65%) | 1658 (61%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.15 | 0.13 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 14 | 11 |
| Market value | €650k | €750k |
| Estimated acquisition | €262k – €1.2M | €219k – €678k |
| Model value | €482k – €1.1M | €410k – €879k |
| Projected value (24m) | €323k – €1.6M | €358k – €1.3M |
| Bargain Index | 71/100 | 95/100 |
| Development | High | Low |
| Breakout probability | 30% | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | High | Very High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€262k – €1.2M Model value (performance-implied)€482k – €1.1M Projected value (24 months)€323k – €1.6M Dashed line: current market value (€650k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€219k – €678k Model value (performance-implied)€410k – €879k Projected value (24 months)€358k – €1.3M Dashed line: current market value (€750k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Yannick Cappelle and Danila Vedernikov
- Cappelle is 2 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- Vedernikov is estimated to cost far less (€292k vs €617k mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Vedernikov (Bargain Index 95 vs 71) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Cappelle High, Vedernikov Very High.