Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Marcus Bundgaard remove | Adriel remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 24 | 25 |
| Position | Goalkeeper | Goalkeeper |
| Club · league | Sönderjyske Fodbold · Superliga | Avs Futebol · Liga Portugal |
| League strength | 0.47 | 0.58 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1242 | 1182 |
| League minutes | 1770 (89%) | 1440 (47%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.05 | 0.06 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.05 | 0.06 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 9 | 11 |
| Market value | €850k | €900k |
| Estimated acquisition | €325k – €1.1M | €0 – €298k |
| Model value | €259k – €657k | €315k – €681k |
| Projected value (24m) | €570k – €2.1M | €521k – €1.5M |
| Bargain Index | 85/100 | 97/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | High | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€325k – €1.1M Model value (performance-implied)€259k – €657k Projected value (24 months)€570k – €2.1M Dashed line: current market value (€850k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€0 – €298k Model value (performance-implied)€315k – €681k Projected value (24 months)€521k – €1.5M Dashed line: current market value (€900k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Marcus Bundgaard and Adriel
- Bundgaard was used far more by the club (89% of minutes vs 47%).
- Adriel is estimated to cost far less (€64k vs €641k mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Adriel (Bargain Index 97 vs 85) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.