Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Casper Widell remove | Guus Offerhaus remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 23 | 25 |
| Position | Centre-back | Centre-back |
| Club · league | Excelsior Rotterdam · Eredivisie | SC Telstar · Eredivisie |
| League strength | 0.43 | 0.43 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1183 | 1216 |
| League minutes | 3054 (100%) | 2970 (97%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.06 | 0.12 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.08 | 0.13 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 10 | 13 |
| Market value | €1.5M | €800k |
| Estimated acquisition | €654k – €1.7M | €329k – €964k |
| Model value | €379k – €888k | €370k – €804k |
| Projected value (24m) | €915k – €3.7M | €599k – €1.5M |
| Bargain Index | 98/100 | 86/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | High | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€654k – €1.7M Model value (performance-implied)€379k – €888k Projected value (24 months)€915k – €3.7M Dashed line: current market value (€1.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€329k – €964k Model value (performance-implied)€370k – €804k Projected value (24 months)€599k – €1.5M Dashed line: current market value (€800k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Casper Widell and Guus Offerhaus
- Widell is 2 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- On value for money the model prefers Widell (Bargain Index 98 vs 86) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Widell High, Offerhaus Moderate.