Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Lucas Gourna-Douath remove | Iker Muñoz remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 22 | 23 |
| Position | Defensive midfielder | Defensive midfielder |
| Club · league | Le Havre AC · Ligue 1 | CA Osasuna · Laliga |
| League strength | 0.88 | 0.95 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1361 | 1427 |
| League minutes | 1276 (42%) | 949 (28%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.07 | 0.06 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 53 | 43 |
| Market value | €6.0M | €2.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €2.5M – €6.1M | €887k – €2.9M |
| Model value | €2.4M – €8.5M | €1.9M – €5.0M |
| Projected value (24m) | €2.7M – €9.3M | €911k – €3.9M |
| Bargain Index | 90/100 | 68/100 |
| Development | Moderate | Moderate |
| Breakout probability | 15% | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€2.5M – €6.1M Model value (performance-implied)€2.4M – €8.5M Projected value (24 months)€2.7M – €9.3M Dashed line: current market value (€6.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€887k – €2.9M Model value (performance-implied)€1.9M – €5.0M Projected value (24 months)€911k – €3.9M Dashed line: current market value (€2.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Lucas Gourna-Douath and Iker Muñoz
- Muñoz is estimated to cost far less (€1.7M vs €3.3M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Gourna-Douath (Bargain Index 90 vs 68) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Gourna-Douath Moderate, Muñoz High.