Iker Muñoz
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Iker Muñoz's performance-implied value at EUR 1.9M-5.0M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.9M-2.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.9M-3.9M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.45x the positional average in the league (949 minutes, league coefficient 0.95). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 68
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 42.7th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 23.8 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €1.7M vs market €2.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | +0% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.95 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 949 (28% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.06
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 43 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.95 (rank 2)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1427
- Opponent strength
- 1451
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €911k – €3.9M
Trajectory drivers: relative output down 67% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -45% (IQR -61% to +56%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
- ⚠Limited sample: 949 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | CA Osasuna | Laliga | DM | 19 | 949 | 28% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 1451 | 1427 | 0.95 |
| 2024/25 | CA Osasuna | Laliga | DM | 23 | 598 | 17% | 0 | 1 | 0.15 | 0.17 | 1497 | 1484 | 0.95 |
| 2023/24 | CA Osasuna | Laliga | DM | 28 | 1856 | 54% | 4 | 0 | 0.19 | 0.19 | 1462 | 1442 | 1.00 |
| 2022/23 | CA Osasuna | Laliga | DM | 8 | 250 | 7% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.13 | 1552 | 1455 | 0.98 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Copa Del Rey | CA Osasuna | 4 | 361 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Copa Del Rey | CA Osasuna | 4 | 195 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Supercopa | CA Osasuna | 1 | 70 | 0 | 0 | 1695 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Facundo Píriz Premier Liga · 2014 | 24 | €2.5M | €1.0M | fell |
| Ezequiel Cirigliano Serie A · 2014 | 22 | €1.8M | €600k | fell |
| Francis Coquelin Bundesliga · 2014 | 23 | €3.0M | €12.0M | rose |
| Finn Becker Bundesliga · 2024 | 24 | €2.5M | €1.5M | fell |
| Gastón Brugman Serie A · 2016 | 24 | €1.3M | €2.3M | rose |
| Yasin Pehlivan Super Lig · 2013 | 24 | €1.4M | €500k | fell |
| Léo Sena Serie A · 2021 | 26 | €2.0M | €1.0M | fell |
| Goran Causic Super Lig · 2013 | 21 | €2.0M | €3.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2023 | Osasuna B | CA Osasuna | Unknown | €500k |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Osasuna U19 | Osasuna B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | CA Osasuna Yout | Osasuna U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.