Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Anselmo García MacNulty remove | Casper Widell remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 23 | 23 |
| Position | Centre-back | Centre-back |
| Club · league | PEC Zwolle · Eredivisie | Excelsior Rotterdam · Eredivisie |
| League strength | 0.43 | 0.43 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1186 | 1183 |
| League minutes | 2845 (93%) | 3054 (100%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.06 | 0.06 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.07 | 0.08 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 22 | 10 |
| Market value | €1.5M | €1.5M |
| Estimated acquisition | €552k – €2.3M | €654k – €1.7M |
| Model value | €376k – €1.2M | €379k – €888k |
| Projected value (24m) | €814k – €2.6M | €915k – €3.7M |
| Bargain Index | 66/100 | 98/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€552k – €2.3M Model value (performance-implied)€376k – €1.2M Projected value (24 months)€814k – €2.6M Dashed line: current market value (€1.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€654k – €1.7M Model value (performance-implied)€379k – €888k Projected value (24 months)€915k – €3.7M Dashed line: current market value (€1.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Anselmo García MacNulty and Casper Widell
- On value for money the model prefers Widell (Bargain Index 98 vs 66) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: MacNulty Moderate, Widell High.