Anselmo García MacNulty
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Anselmo García MacNulty's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-1.2M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.6M-2.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.8M-2.6M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: 66
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 22th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 23.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €1.3M vs market €1.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | +0% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2845 (93% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.06
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.07
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 22 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.43 (rank 15)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1186
- Opponent strength
- 1302
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €814k – €2.6M
Trajectory drivers: team strength down (-79 Elo); relative output up 37% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +94% (IQR +39% to +111%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 82 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 65%–166%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 78%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | PEC Zwolle | Eredivisie | CB | 32 | 2845 | 93% | 2 | 0 | 0.06 | 0.07 | 1302 | 1186 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | PEC Zwolle | Eredivisie | CB | 34 | 3060 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0.03 | 0.05 | 1309 | 1265 | 0.50 |
| 2023/24 | PEC Zwolle | Eredivisie | LB | 31 | 2522 | 82% | 2 | 2 | 0.14 | 0.17 | 1359 | 1189 | 0.48 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Knvb Beker | PEC Zwolle | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Knvb Beker | PEC Zwolle | 1 | 120 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Knvb Beker | PEC Zwolle | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taha Şahin Super Lig · 2024 | 24 | €1.2M | €3.0M | rose |
| Cenk Özkacar Jupiler Pro League · 2022 | 22 | €2.0M | €4.0M | rose |
| Oliver Provstgaard Superliga · 2024 | 21 | €2.0M | €16.0M | rose |
| Andreas Maxsø Superliga · 2017 | 23 | €800k | €1.5M | rose |
| Saad Agouzoul Jupiler Pro League · 2021 | 24 | €900k | €1.8M | rose |
| Shawn Adewoye Eredivisie · 2024 | 24 | €1.3M | €900k | fell |
| Nihad Mujakic Super Lig · 2024 | 26 | €2.0M | €1.2M | fell |
| Mats Köhlert Eredivisie · 2024 | 26 | €2.0M | €3.5M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2026 | PEC Zwolle | 1.FC Magdeburg | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 26 Jul 2023 | Wolfsburg | PEC Zwolle | Free / loan | €450k |
| 30 Jun 2023 | NAC Breda | Wolfsburg | Free / loan | €400k |
| 19 Jul 2022 | Wolfsburg | NAC Breda | Free / loan | €300k |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Wolfsburg U19 | Wolfsburg | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2020 | Wolfsburg U17 | Wolfsburg U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Real Betis Yth. | Wolfsburg U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.