Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Yannick Thoelen remove | Adriel remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 35 | 25 |
| Position | Goalkeeper | Goalkeeper |
| Club · league | Royal Antwerp FC · Jupiler Pro League | Avs Futebol · Liga Portugal |
| League strength | 0.65 | 0.58 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1365 | 1182 |
| League minutes | 496 (18%) | 1440 (47%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.00 | 0.06 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.00 | 0.06 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 11 | 11 |
| Market value | €200k | €900k |
| Estimated acquisition | €61k – €237k | €0 – €298k |
| Model value | €54k – €235k | €315k – €681k |
| Projected value (24m) | €80k – €203k | €521k – €1.5M |
| Bargain Index | No index | 97/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Very High | High |
| Data confidence | Low | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€61k – €237k Model value (performance-implied)€54k – €235k Projected value (24 months)€80k – €203k Dashed line: current market value (€200k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€0 – €298k Model value (performance-implied)€315k – €681k Projected value (24 months)€521k – €1.5M Dashed line: current market value (€900k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Yannick Thoelen and Adriel
- Adriel is 10 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- Adriel was used far more by the club (47% of minutes vs 18%).
- Risk differs: Thoelen Very High, Adriel High.