Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Abner remove | Sergi Cardona remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 26 | 26 |
| Position | Left-back | Left-back |
| Club · league | Olympique Lyon · Ligue 1 | Villarreal CF · Laliga |
| League strength | 0.88 | 0.95 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1554 | 1544 |
| League minutes | 2157 (71%) | 1965 (57%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.17 | 0.19 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 73 | 86 |
| Market value | €10.0M | €9.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €5.6M – €12.1M | €3.3M – €7.7M |
| Model value | €4.1M – €13.2M | €6.6M – €14.1M |
| Projected value (24m) | €5.1M – €16.3M | €4.4M – €10.5M |
| Bargain Index | 27/100 | 87/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Low | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€5.6M – €12.1M Model value (performance-implied)€4.1M – €13.2M Projected value (24 months)€5.1M – €16.3M Dashed line: current market value (€10.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€3.3M – €7.7M Model value (performance-implied)€6.6M – €14.1M Projected value (24 months)€4.4M – €10.5M Dashed line: current market value (€9.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Abner and Sergi Cardona
- Cardona is estimated to cost far less (€4.4M vs €10.3M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Cardona (Bargain Index 87 vs 27) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Abner Low, Cardona Moderate.