Player Comparison

Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.

Warren Bondo removeLucas Gourna-Douath remove
Age2222
PositionDefensive midfielderDefensive midfielder
Club · leagueUS Cremonese · Serie ALe Havre AC · Ligue 1
League strength0.930.88
Team strength (Elo)12991361
League minutes1770 (52%)1276 (42%)
G+A per 90 (raw)0.000.00
G+A per 90 (context-adjusted)0.070.07
Passing / defending / progressionData unavailableData unavailable
Performance percentile4753
Market value€6.0M€6.0M
Estimated acquisition€2.9M – €7.3M€2.5M – €6.1M
Model value€1.7M – €7.8M€2.4M – €8.5M
Projected value (24m)€2.6M – €8.8M€2.7M – €9.3M
Bargain Index34/10090/100
DevelopmentModerateModerate
Breakout probability9%15%
RiskModerateModerate
Data confidenceMediumMedium
Value picture
Estimated acquisition€2.9M – €7.3M
Model value (performance-implied)€1.7M – €7.8M
Projected value (24 months)€2.6M – €8.8M
Dashed line: current market value (€6.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.
Estimated acquisition€2.5M – €6.1M
Model value (performance-implied)€2.4M – €8.5M
Projected value (24 months)€2.7M – €9.3M
Dashed line: current market value (€6.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

What separates Warren Bondo and Lucas Gourna-Douath

  • Gourna-Douath is estimated to cost far less (€3.3M vs €5.6M mid-estimate).
  • On value for money the model prefers Gourna-Douath (Bargain Index 90 vs 34) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.