Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Jon Aramburu remove | Omar El Hilali remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 23 | 22 |
| Position | Right-back | Right-back |
| Club · league | Real Sociedad · Laliga | RCD Espanyol Barcelona · Laliga |
| League strength | 0.95 | 0.95 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1462 | 1399 |
| League minutes | 2779 (81%) | 2828 (83%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.03 | 0.06 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.06 | 0.10 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 70 | 65 |
| Market value | €15.0M | €15.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €10.2M – €21.2M | €6.3M – €16.2M |
| Model value | €3.5M – €17.4M | €4.2M – €12.4M |
| Projected value (24m) | €7.7M – €22.1M | €8.7M – €21.7M |
| Bargain Index | 29/100 | 88/100 |
| Development | Moderate | High |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | 11% |
| Risk | Low | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€10.2M – €21.2M Model value (performance-implied)€3.5M – €17.4M Projected value (24 months)€7.7M – €22.1M Dashed line: current market value (€15.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€6.3M – €16.2M Model value (performance-implied)€4.2M – €12.4M Projected value (24 months)€8.7M – €21.7M Dashed line: current market value (€15.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Jon Aramburu and Omar El Hilali
- Hilali is estimated to cost far less (€8.4M vs €14.5M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Hilali (Bargain Index 88 vs 29) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Aramburu Low, Hilali Moderate.