Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Ahmetcan Kaplan remove | Matisse Didden remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 23 | 24 |
| Position | Centre-back | Centre-back |
| Club · league | NEC Nijmegen · Eredivisie | FC Utrecht · Eredivisie |
| League strength | 0.43 | 0.43 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1362 | 1352 |
| League minutes | 2046 (67%) | 1887 (62%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.04 | 0.10 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.05 | 0.08 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 35 | 33 |
| Market value | €7.0M | €3.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €2.9M – €7.6M | €1.4M – €4.6M |
| Model value | €809k – €3.3M | €664k – €2.5M |
| Projected value (24m) | €3.1M – €11.2M | €1.5M – €5.2M |
| Bargain Index | 89/100 | 41/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | High | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€2.9M – €7.6M Model value (performance-implied)€809k – €3.3M Projected value (24 months)€3.1M – €11.2M Dashed line: current market value (€7.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€1.4M – €4.6M Model value (performance-implied)€664k – €2.5M Projected value (24 months)€1.5M – €5.2M Dashed line: current market value (€3.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Ahmetcan Kaplan and Matisse Didden
- On value for money the model prefers Kaplan (Bargain Index 89 vs 41) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Kaplan High, Didden Moderate.