Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Juan Castillo remove | David Volk remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 23 | 25 |
| Position | Goalkeeper | Goalkeeper |
| Club · league | Vitória Guimarães SC · Liga Portugal | Dinamo Makhachkala · Premier Liga |
| League strength | 0.58 | 0.56 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1361 | 1214 |
| League minutes | 1350 (44%) | 1350 (50%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 27 | 21 |
| Market value | €500k | €900k |
| Estimated acquisition | €181k – €643k | €241k – €659k |
| Model value | €378k – €1.5M | €453k – €1.1M |
| Projected value (24m) | €327k – €1.0M | €438k – €1.4M |
| Bargain Index | 81/100 | 95/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | Very High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€181k – €643k Model value (performance-implied)€378k – €1.5M Projected value (24 months)€327k – €1.0M Dashed line: current market value (€500k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€241k – €659k Model value (performance-implied)€453k – €1.1M Projected value (24 months)€438k – €1.4M Dashed line: current market value (€900k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Juan Castillo and David Volk
- On value for money the model prefers Volk (Bargain Index 95 vs 81) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Castillo Moderate, Volk Very High.