David Volk
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates David Volk's performance-implied value at EUR 0.5M-1.1M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-0.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.4M-1.4M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 95
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 21th pct among GK peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 25.2 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €321k vs market €900k |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | -9% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.56 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 284 evaluated GK players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1350 (50% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.01
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 21 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.56 (rank 10)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1214
- Opponent strength
- 1371
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €438k – €1.4M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 17 pts.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +8% (IQR -47% to +150%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ⚠Limited sample: 1350 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.56 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠League level estimated mainly from squad values (few matches vs other leagues).
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 63 (all positions)
- Relative output kept
- 61%–143%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 60%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Dinamo Makhachkala | Premier Liga | GK | 15 | 1350 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1371 | 1214 | 0.56 |
| 2024/25 | Dinamo Makhachkala | Premier Liga | GK | 20 | 1800 | 67% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1300 | 1233 | 0.55 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Russian Cup | Dinamo Makhachkala | 6 | 540 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2024/25 | Russian Cup | Dinamo Makhachkala | 3 | 270 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rui Silva Liga Portugal · 2017 | 23 | €1.0M | €2.5M | rose |
| Cláudio Ramos Liga Portugal · 2016 | 25 | €600k | €1.5M | rose |
| Hervé Koffi Liga Portugal · 2020 | 24 | €800k | €2.0M | rose |
| Mattijs Branderhorst Eredivisie · 2018 | 24 | €900k | €425k | fell |
| Igor Lytovka Premier Liga · 2015 | 27 | €500k | €250k | fell |
| Michael Zetterer Eredivisie · 2021 | 26 | €800k | €500k | fell |
| Okan Kocuk Super Lig · 2019 | 24 | €1.3M | €700k | fell |
| Marko Ilic Jupiler Pro League · 2021 | 23 | €800k | €1.5M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan 2023 | Baltika-BFU | Dinamo Makhach. | Free / loan | €50k |
| 22 Sept 2020 | Rubin Kazan II | Baltika 2 | Free / loan | €75k |
| 31 Jan 2019 | Neftekhimik II | Rubin Kazan II | Free / loan | €100k |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Akademia Rubin | Neftekhimik II | Unknown | €100k |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.