Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Sergi Cardona remove | Alfonso Pedraza remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 26 | 30 |
| Position | Left-back | Left-back |
| Club · league | Villarreal CF · Laliga | Villarreal CF · Laliga |
| League strength | 0.95 | 0.95 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1544 | 1544 |
| League minutes | 1965 (57%) | 1690 (49%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.19 | 0.17 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 86 | 77 |
| Market value | €9.0M | €2.5M |
| Estimated acquisition | €3.3M – €7.7M | €899k – €2.7M |
| Model value | €6.6M – €14.1M | €2.3M – €6.3M |
| Projected value (24m) | €4.4M – €10.5M | €859k – €2.1M |
| Bargain Index | 87/100 | 38/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€3.3M – €7.7M Model value (performance-implied)€6.6M – €14.1M Projected value (24 months)€4.4M – €10.5M Dashed line: current market value (€9.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€899k – €2.7M Model value (performance-implied)€2.3M – €6.3M Projected value (24 months)€859k – €2.1M Dashed line: current market value (€2.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Sergi Cardona and Alfonso Pedraza
- Cardona is 3 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- Pedraza is estimated to cost far less (€1.4M vs €4.4M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Cardona (Bargain Index 87 vs 38) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.