Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Tolu Arokodare remove | Lyle Foster remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 25 | 25 |
| Position | Striker | Striker |
| Club · league | Wolverhampton Wanderers · Premier League | Burnley FC · Premier League |
| League strength | 1.30 | 1.30 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1427 | 1343 |
| League minutes | 1488 (44%) | 1372 (40%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.49 | 0.64 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 81 | 69 |
| Market value | €20.0M | €8.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €14.2M – €29.0M | €4.1M – €12.6M |
| Model value | €8.2M – €17.1M | €4.6M – €18.4M |
| Projected value (24m) | €9.0M – €22.6M | €3.5M – €10.3M |
| Bargain Index | 13/100 | 16/100 |
| Development | Moderate | Moderate |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | Low |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€14.2M – €29.0M Model value (performance-implied)€8.2M – €17.1M Projected value (24 months)€9.0M – €22.6M Dashed line: current market value (€20.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€4.1M – €12.6M Model value (performance-implied)€4.6M – €18.4M Projected value (24 months)€3.5M – €10.3M Dashed line: current market value (€8.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Tolu Arokodare and Lyle Foster
- Foster has higher context-adjusted goal contributions (0.64 vs 0.49 per 90).
- Foster is estimated to cost far less (€8.2M vs €22.5M mid-estimate).
- Risk differs: Arokodare Moderate, Foster Low.