Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| David Simão remove | Pablo Álvarez remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 36 | 29 |
| Position | Defensive midfielder | Defensive midfielder |
| Club · league | FC Arouca · Liga Portugal | Karpaty Lviv · Premier Liga |
| League strength | 0.58 | 0.25 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1310 | 1213 |
| League minutes | 660 (22%) | 1010 (37%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.00 | 0.27 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 28 | 16 |
| Market value | €100k | €1.2M |
| Estimated acquisition | €24k – €209k | €0 – €394k |
| Model value | €73k – €374k | €289k – €993k |
| Projected value (24m) | €72k – €108k | €377k – €1.1M |
| Bargain Index | No index | 78/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Very High | Very High |
| Data confidence | Low | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€24k – €209k Model value (performance-implied)€73k – €374k Projected value (24 months)€72k – €108k Dashed line: current market value (€100k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€0 – €394k Model value (performance-implied)€289k – €993k Projected value (24 months)€377k – €1.1M Dashed line: current market value (€1.2M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates David Simão and Pablo Álvarez
- Álvarez is 7 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- Simão plays in a stronger league (0.58 vs 0.25); the other's output carries more translation uncertainty.
- Álvarez has higher context-adjusted goal contributions (0.20 vs 0.10 per 90).
- Álvarez was used far more by the club (37% of minutes vs 22%).
- Álvarez is estimated to cost far less (€61k vs €94k mid-estimate).