Player Comparison

Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.

	Egor Smelov remove	Isaac James remove
Age	21	21
Position	Attacking midfielder	Left midfielder
Club · league	FK Nizhny Novgorod · Premier Liga	FC Alverca · Liga Portugal
League strength	0.56	0.58
Team strength (Elo)	1180	1277
League minutes	941 (35%)	1305 (43%)
G+A per 90 (raw)	0.19	0.14
G+A per 90 (context-adjusted)	0.38	0.28
Passing / defending / progression	Data unavailable	Data unavailable
Performance percentile	11	13
Market value	€750k	€600k
Estimated acquisition	€310k – €1.1M	€305k – €1.3M
Model value	€350k – €730k	€309k – €1.1M
Projected value (24m)	€398k – €1.9M	€392k – €1.5M
Bargain Index	99/100	95/100
Development	Moderate	High
Breakout probability	17%	30%
Risk	Very High	High
Data confidence	Medium	Medium
Value picture	Estimated acquisition€310k – €1.1M Model value (performance-implied)€350k – €730k Projected value (24 months)€398k – €1.9M Dashed line: current market value (€750k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.	Estimated acquisition€305k – €1.3M Model value (performance-implied)€309k – €1.1M Projected value (24 months)€392k – €1.5M Dashed line: current market value (€600k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

What separates Egor Smelov and Isaac James