Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Bernardo remove | Kaique Pereira remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 23 | 23 |
| Position | Goalkeeper | Goalkeeper |
| Club · league | CD Tondela · Liga Portugal | CD Nacional · Liga Portugal |
| League strength | 0.58 | 0.58 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1194 | 1231 |
| League minutes | 3060 (100%) | 2520 (82%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 30 | 24 |
| Market value | €5.0M | €2.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €2.5M – €7.2M | €0 – €1.1M |
| Model value | €625k – €1.3M | €485k – €1.4M |
| Projected value (24m) | €2.9M – €10.2M | €1.2M – €4.4M |
| Bargain Index | 52/100 | 100/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€2.5M – €7.2M Model value (performance-implied)€625k – €1.3M Projected value (24 months)€2.9M – €10.2M Dashed line: current market value (€5.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€0 – €1.1M Model value (performance-implied)€485k – €1.4M Projected value (24 months)€1.2M – €4.4M Dashed line: current market value (€2.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Bernardo and Kaique Pereira
- Bernardo was used far more by the club (100% of minutes vs 82%).
- Pereira is estimated to cost far less (€196k vs €5.1M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Pereira (Bargain Index 100 vs 52) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Bernardo Moderate, Pereira High.