Player Comparison

Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.

Iago Aspas removeMichael Gregoritsch remove
Age3832
PositionStrikerStriker
Club · leagueCelta de Vigo · LaligaFC Augsburg · Bundesliga
League strength0.950.94
Team strength (Elo)14981397
League minutes1130 (33%)1287 (42%)
G+A per 90 (raw)0.640.84
G+A per 90 (context-adjusted)0.510.67
Passing / defending / progressionData unavailableData unavailable
Performance percentile7662
Market value€1.6M€1.5M
Estimated acquisition€517k – €1.7M€506k – €1.4M
Model value€965k – €3.2M€1.2M – €3.6M
Projected value (24m)€505k – €1.4M€418k – €1.2M
Bargain IndexNo index55/100
DevelopmentLowLow
Breakout probabilityn/a (age > 23)n/a (age > 23)
RiskVery HighHigh
Data confidenceMediumMedium
Value picture
Estimated acquisition€517k – €1.7M
Model value (performance-implied)€965k – €3.2M
Projected value (24 months)€505k – €1.4M
Dashed line: current market value (€1.6M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.
Estimated acquisition€506k – €1.4M
Model value (performance-implied)€1.2M – €3.6M
Projected value (24 months)€418k – €1.2M
Dashed line: current market value (€1.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

What separates Iago Aspas and Michael Gregoritsch

  • Gregoritsch is 7 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
  • Gregoritsch has higher context-adjusted goal contributions (0.67 vs 0.51 per 90).
  • Risk differs: Aspas Very High, Gregoritsch High.