Player Comparison

Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.

Loïc Badé removeMathías Olivera remove
Age2628
PositionCentre-backCentre-back
Club · leagueBayer 04 Leverkusen · BundesligaSSC Napoli · Serie A
League strength0.940.93
Team strength (Elo)16261618
League minutes1652 (54%)1368 (40%)
G+A per 90 (raw)0.000.00
G+A per 90 (context-adjusted)0.010.02
Passing / defending / progressionData unavailableData unavailable
Performance percentile8688
Market value€20.0M€15.0M
Estimated acquisition€13.5M – €25.9M€8.6M – €16.4M
Model value€7.5M – €18.5M€9.6M – €19.6M
Projected value (24m)€8.1M – €23.9M€4.1M – €11.1M
Bargain Index37/1003/100
DevelopmentLowLow
Breakout probabilityn/a (age > 23)n/a (age > 23)
RiskModerateModerate
Data confidenceMediumMedium
Value picture
Estimated acquisition€13.5M – €25.9M
Model value (performance-implied)€7.5M – €18.5M
Projected value (24 months)€8.1M – €23.9M
Dashed line: current market value (€20.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.
Estimated acquisition€8.6M – €16.4M
Model value (performance-implied)€9.6M – €19.6M
Projected value (24 months)€4.1M – €11.1M
Dashed line: current market value (€15.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

What separates Loïc Badé and Mathías Olivera

  • Badé is 2 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
  • Olivera is estimated to cost far less (€12.4M vs €18.7M mid-estimate).
  • On value for money the model prefers Badé (Bargain Index 37 vs 3) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.