Loïc Badé
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Loïc Badé's performance-implied value at EUR 7.5M-18.5M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 13.5M-25.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 8.1M-23.9M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 37
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | High | 86th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 26.2 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €18.7M vs market €20.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -16% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.94 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1652 (54% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.01
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 86 (High)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.94 (rank 3)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1626
- Opponent strength
- 1491
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €8.1M – €23.9M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 25 pts; changed club; team strength up (+215 Elo); relative output down 81% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -13% (IQR -45% to +7%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 1652 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | Bundesliga | CB | 23 | 1652 | 54% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 1491 | 1626 | 0.94 |
| 2024/25 | Sevilla FC | Laliga | CB | 32 | 2687 | 79% | 1 | 1 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 1524 | 1410 | 0.95 |
| 2023/24 | Sevilla FC | Laliga | CB | 28 | 2283 | 67% | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | 0.06 | 1493 | 1475 | 1.00 |
| 2022/23 | Sevilla FC | Laliga | CB | 19 | 1448 | 42% | 1 | 0 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 1474 | 1583 | 0.98 |
| 2022/23 | Stade Rennais FC | Ligue 1 | CB | 1 | 90 | 3% | 0 | 1 | 1.00 | 0.08 | 1255 | 1562 | 0.82 |
| 2021/22 | Stade Rennais FC | Ligue 1 | CB | 14 | 984 | 29% | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | 0.07 | 1387 | 1581 | 0.86 |
| 2020/21 | RC Lens | Ligue 1 | CB | 31 | 2610 | 76% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 1444 | 1371 | 0.75 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 8 | 608 | 0 | 0 | 1632 |
| 2025/26 | Dfb Pokal | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 3 | 122 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Copa Del Rey | Sevilla FC | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Copa Del Rey | Sevilla FC | 2 | 153 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League | Sevilla FC | 2 | 94 | 0 | 0 | 1756 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Super Cup | Sevilla FC | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1894 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Europa League | Sevilla FC | 6 | 526 | 1 | 0 | 1618 |
| 2022/23 | Copa Del Rey | Sevilla FC | 2 | 210 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Stade Rennais FC | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1514 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcos Rojo Premier League · 2015 | 25 | €18.0M | €18.0M | flat |
| Dejan Lovren Premier League · 2015 | 26 | €13.0M | €17.0M | rose |
| Eliaquim Mangala Premier League · 2016 | 25 | €23.0M | €15.0M | fell |
| Jhon Lucumí Serie A · 2024 | 26 | €17.0M | €22.0M | rose |
| Matija Nastasić Bundesliga · 2018 | 25 | €17.0M | €13.0M | fell |
| Reinildo Mandava Laliga · 2023 | 29 | €25.0M | €5.0M | fell |
| Kurt Zouma Premier League · 2020 | 26 | €28.0M | €28.0M | flat |
| Thomas Vermaelen Premier League · 2013 | 28 | €18.0M | €6.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug 2025 | Sevilla FC | Leverkusen | €25.0M | €25.0M |
| 1 Jul 2023 | Stade Rennais | Sevilla FC | €12.0M | €12.0M |
| 30 Jun 2023 | Sevilla FC | Stade Rennais | Free / loan | €12.0M |
| 1 Jan 2023 | Stade Rennais | Sevilla FC | Free / loan | €10.0M |
| 31 Dec 2022 | Nott'm Forest | Stade Rennais | Free / loan | €10.0M |
| 1 Sept 2022 | Stade Rennais | Nott'm Forest | Free / loan | €12.0M |
| 5 Jul 2021 | Lens | Stade Rennais | €17.0M | €12.0M |
| 1 Jul 2020 | Le Havre AC | Lens | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2020 | Le Havre B | Le Havre AC | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Le Havre U19 | Le Havre B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Paris FC U17 | Le Havre U19 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2015 | ACBB Youth | Paris FC U17 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.