Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Alan Varela remove | Raphael Onyedika remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 24 | 25 |
| Position | Defensive midfielder | Defensive midfielder |
| Club · league | FC Porto · Liga Portugal | Club Brugge KV · Jupiler Pro League |
| League strength | 0.58 | 0.65 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1594 | 1589 |
| League minutes | 2322 (76%) | 1688 (63%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.08 | 0.05 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.07 | 0.05 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 73 | 74 |
| Market value | €32.0M | €23.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €23.1M – €40.2M | €9.5M – €22.9M |
| Model value | €3.7M – €19.0M | €4.5M – €19.9M |
| Projected value (24m) | €17.9M – €44.0M | €10.9M – €26.6M |
| Bargain Index | 33/100 | 76/100 |
| Development | Moderate | Moderate |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Low | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€23.1M – €40.2M Model value (performance-implied)€3.7M – €19.0M Projected value (24 months)€17.9M – €44.0M Dashed line: current market value (€32.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€9.5M – €22.9M Model value (performance-implied)€4.5M – €19.9M Projected value (24 months)€10.9M – €26.6M Dashed line: current market value (€23.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Alan Varela and Raphael Onyedika
- Onyedika is estimated to cost far less (€12.7M vs €29.1M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Onyedika (Bargain Index 76 vs 33) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Varela Low, Onyedika Moderate.