Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Andriy Kitela remove | Denys Nagnoynyi remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 21 | 24 |
| Position | Right midfielder | Attacking midfielder |
| Club · league | Rukh Lviv · Premier Liga | FC Kudrivka · Premier Liga |
| League strength | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1039 | 1042 |
| League minutes | 1439 (53%) | 1308 (48%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.13 | 0.07 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.22 | 0.29 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 0 | 1 |
| Market value | €500k | €350k |
| Estimated acquisition | €227k – €715k | €98k – €383k |
| Model value | €228k – €479k | €253k – €492k |
| Projected value (24m) | €265k – €1.1M | €237k – €487k |
| Bargain Index | 68/100 | 98/100 |
| Development | Moderate | Low |
| Breakout probability | 9% | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Very High | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€227k – €715k Model value (performance-implied)€228k – €479k Projected value (24 months)€265k – €1.1M Dashed line: current market value (€500k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€98k – €383k Model value (performance-implied)€253k – €492k Projected value (24 months)€237k – €487k Dashed line: current market value (€350k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Andriy Kitela and Denys Nagnoynyi
- Kitela is 3 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- Nagnoynyi is estimated to cost far less (€173k vs €447k mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Nagnoynyi (Bargain Index 98 vs 68) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Kitela Very High, Nagnoynyi High.