Player Comparison

Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.

Vanderson removeJoão Mário remove
Age2526
PositionRight-backRight-back
Club · leagueAS Monaco · Ligue 1Bologna Football Club 1909 · Serie A
League strength0.880.93
Team strength (Elo)15271546
League minutes613 (20%)994 (29%)
G+A per 90 (raw)0.290.09
G+A per 90 (context-adjusted)0.170.14
Passing / defending / progressionData unavailableData unavailable
Performance percentile6665
Market value€18.0M€8.0M
Estimated acquisition€10.7M – €22.0M€3.4M – €8.3M
Model value€3.4M – €9.7M€2.8M – €7.0M
Projected value (24m)€7.2M – €21.9M€3.1M – €8.8M
Bargain IndexNo index11/100
DevelopmentModerateLow
Breakout probabilityn/a (age > 23)n/a (age > 23)
RiskHighModerate
Data confidenceLowMedium
Value picture
Estimated acquisition€10.7M – €22.0M
Model value (performance-implied)€3.4M – €9.7M
Projected value (24 months)€7.2M – €21.9M
Dashed line: current market value (€18.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.
Estimated acquisition€3.4M – €8.3M
Model value (performance-implied)€2.8M – €7.0M
Projected value (24 months)€3.1M – €8.8M
Dashed line: current market value (€8.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

What separates Vanderson and João Mário

  • Mário is estimated to cost far less (€6.5M vs €16.1M mid-estimate).
  • Risk differs: Vanderson High, Mário Moderate.