Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Aleksandr Kovalenko remove | Gustavo Mendonça remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 22 | 23 |
| Position | Central midfielder | Central midfielder |
| Club · league | FK Sochi · Premier Liga | Avs Futebol · Liga Portugal |
| League strength | 0.56 | 0.58 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1197 | 1182 |
| League minutes | 1038 (38%) | 1401 (46%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.16 | 0.14 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 10 | 6 |
| Market value | €1.2M | €500k |
| Estimated acquisition | €410k – €1.2M | €235k – €702k |
| Model value | €442k – €665k | €317k – €593k |
| Projected value (24m) | €552k – €2.3M | €310k – €888k |
| Bargain Index | 94/100 | 65/100 |
| Development | Moderate | Low |
| Breakout probability | 12% | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Very High | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€410k – €1.2M Model value (performance-implied)€442k – €665k Projected value (24 months)€552k – €2.3M Dashed line: current market value (€1.2M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€235k – €702k Model value (performance-implied)€317k – €593k Projected value (24 months)€310k – €888k Dashed line: current market value (€500k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Aleksandr Kovalenko and Gustavo Mendonça
- On value for money the model prefers Kovalenko (Bargain Index 94 vs 65) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Kovalenko Very High, Mendonça High.