Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Yuriy Koledin remove | Daniel Rivas remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 21 | 24 |
| Position | Left-back | Left-back |
| Club · league | FK Nizhny Novgorod · Premier Liga | Avs Futebol · Liga Portugal |
| League strength | 0.56 | 0.58 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1176 | 1182 |
| League minutes | 1438 (53%) | 1527 (50%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.06 | 0.06 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.15 | 0.18 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 7 | 8 |
| Market value | €750k | €500k |
| Estimated acquisition | €376k – €1.8M | €145k – €419k |
| Model value | €384k – €788k | €358k – €662k |
| Projected value (24m) | €406k – €2.0M | €323k – €878k |
| Bargain Index | 66/100 | 99/100 |
| Development | Moderate | Low |
| Breakout probability | 22% | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Very High | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€376k – €1.8M Model value (performance-implied)€384k – €788k Projected value (24 months)€406k – €2.0M Dashed line: current market value (€750k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€145k – €419k Model value (performance-implied)€358k – €662k Projected value (24 months)€323k – €878k Dashed line: current market value (€500k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Yuriy Koledin and Daniel Rivas
- Koledin is 3 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- Rivas is estimated to cost far less (€194k vs €708k mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Rivas (Bargain Index 99 vs 66) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Koledin Very High, Rivas High.