Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Kobbie Mainoo remove | Carlos Baleba remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 21 | 22 |
| Position | Defensive midfielder | Defensive midfielder |
| Club · league | Manchester United · Premier League | Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League |
| League strength | 1.30 | 1.30 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1715 | 1611 |
| League minutes | 1654 (48%) | 1662 (49%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.16 | 0.00 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.11 | 0.03 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 91 | 93 |
| Market value | €70.0M | €55.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €57.5M – €101M | €43.3M – €74.7M |
| Model value | €31.3M – €52.6M | €27.6M – €49.9M |
| Projected value (24m) | €36.6M – €88.6M | €28.9M – €62.9M |
| Bargain Index | 21/100 | 9/100 |
| Development | High | High |
| Breakout probability | 6% | 5% |
| Risk | Low | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€57.5M – €101M Model value (performance-implied)€31.3M – €52.6M Projected value (24 months)€36.6M – €88.6M Dashed line: current market value (€70.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€43.3M – €74.7M Model value (performance-implied)€27.6M – €49.9M Projected value (24 months)€28.9M – €62.9M Dashed line: current market value (€55.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Kobbie Mainoo and Carlos Baleba
- On value for money the model prefers Mainoo (Bargain Index 21 vs 9) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Mainoo Low, Baleba Moderate.