Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Emircan Gürlük remove | Alexander Lyng remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 22 | 21 |
| Position | Left winger | Left winger |
| Club · league | FC Orenburg · Premier Liga | Sönderjyske Fodbold · Superliga |
| League strength | 0.56 | 0.47 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1218 | 1242 |
| League minutes | 1653 (61%) | 1305 (66%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.33 | 0.28 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.51 | 0.42 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 15 | 4 |
| Market value | €1.2M | €1.2M |
| Estimated acquisition | €645k – €2.0M | €647k – €2.6M |
| Model value | €553k – €1.0M | €330k – €752k |
| Projected value (24m) | €653k – €2.8M | €795k – €3.7M |
| Bargain Index | 65/100 | 83/100 |
| Development | Moderate | High |
| Breakout probability | 19% | 40% |
| Risk | Very High | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€645k – €2.0M Model value (performance-implied)€553k – €1.0M Projected value (24 months)€653k – €2.8M Dashed line: current market value (€1.2M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€647k – €2.6M Model value (performance-implied)€330k – €752k Projected value (24 months)€795k – €3.7M Dashed line: current market value (€1.2M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Emircan Gürlük and Alexander Lyng
- Gürlük has higher context-adjusted goal contributions (0.51 vs 0.42 per 90).
- On value for money the model prefers Lyng (Bargain Index 83 vs 65) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Gürlük Very High, Lyng High.