Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Nicolai Larsen remove | Adriel remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 35 | 25 |
| Position | Goalkeeper | Goalkeeper |
| Club · league | Silkeborg IF · Superliga | Avs Futebol · Liga Portugal |
| League strength | 0.47 | 0.58 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1213 | 1182 |
| League minutes | 1890 (96%) | 1440 (47%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.00 | 0.06 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.00 | 0.06 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 20 | 11 |
| Market value | €150k | €900k |
| Estimated acquisition | €35k – €188k | €0 – €298k |
| Model value | €138k – €328k | €315k – €681k |
| Projected value (24m) | €95k – €133k | €521k – €1.5M |
| Bargain Index | No index | 97/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€35k – €188k Model value (performance-implied)€138k – €328k Projected value (24 months)€95k – €133k Dashed line: current market value (€150k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€0 – €298k Model value (performance-implied)€315k – €681k Projected value (24 months)€521k – €1.5M Dashed line: current market value (€900k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Nicolai Larsen and Adriel
- Adriel is 10 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- Larsen was used far more by the club (96% of minutes vs 47%).
- Risk differs: Larsen Moderate, Adriel High.