Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Martim Fernandes remove | Kyriani Sabbe remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 20 | 21 |
| Position | Right-back | Right-back |
| Club · league | FC Porto · Liga Portugal | Club Brugge KV · Jupiler Pro League |
| League strength | 0.58 | 0.65 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1594 | 1589 |
| League minutes | 1119 (37%) | 1510 (56%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.16 | 0.30 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.09 | 0.12 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 62 | 68 |
| Market value | €12.0M | €8.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €8.8M – €21.4M | €5.7M – €13.3M |
| Model value | €2.5M – €10.6M | €3.7M – €14.0M |
| Projected value (24m) | €7.8M – €25.4M | €5.0M – €20.2M |
| Bargain Index | 39/100 | 64/100 |
| Development | Moderate | High |
| Breakout probability | 15% | 28% |
| Risk | High | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€8.8M – €21.4M Model value (performance-implied)€2.5M – €10.6M Projected value (24 months)€7.8M – €25.4M Dashed line: current market value (€12.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€5.7M – €13.3M Model value (performance-implied)€3.7M – €14.0M Projected value (24 months)€5.0M – €20.2M Dashed line: current market value (€8.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Martim Fernandes and Kyriani Sabbe
- Sabbe was used far more by the club (56% of minutes vs 37%).
- Sabbe is estimated to cost far less (€9.2M vs €14.7M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Sabbe (Bargain Index 64 vs 39) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Fernandes High, Sabbe Moderate.