Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Naves remove | Viktor Melekhin remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 24 | 22 |
| Position | Centre-back | Centre-back |
| Club · league | FC Alverca · Liga Portugal | FK Rostov · Premier Liga |
| League strength | 0.58 | 0.56 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1277 | 1301 |
| League minutes | 2835 (93%) | 2382 (88%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.06 | 0.08 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.08 | 0.08 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 34 | 35 |
| Market value | €4.0M | €3.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €2.1M – €5.7M | €1.1M – €3.1M |
| Model value | €580k – €1.8M | €836k – €3.0M |
| Projected value (24m) | €2.4M – €6.7M | €1.5M – €5.1M |
| Bargain Index | 37/100 | 97/100 |
| Development | Low | Moderate |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | 22% |
| Risk | Moderate | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€2.1M – €5.7M Model value (performance-implied)€580k – €1.8M Projected value (24 months)€2.4M – €6.7M Dashed line: current market value (€4.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€1.1M – €3.1M Model value (performance-implied)€836k – €3.0M Projected value (24 months)€1.5M – €5.1M Dashed line: current market value (€3.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Naves and Viktor Melekhin
- Melekhin is estimated to cost far less (€1.5M vs €4.3M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Melekhin (Bargain Index 97 vs 37) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Naves Moderate, Melekhin High.