Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Nícolas remove | Adriel remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 38 | 25 |
| Position | Goalkeeper | Goalkeeper |
| Club · league | Pisa Sporting Club · Serie A | Avs Futebol · Liga Portugal |
| League strength | 0.93 | 0.58 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1260 | 1182 |
| League minutes | 540 (16%) | 1440 (47%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.00 | 0.06 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.01 | 0.06 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 30 | 11 |
| Market value | €100k | €900k |
| Estimated acquisition | €29k – €216k | €0 – €298k |
| Model value | €40k – €270k | €315k – €681k |
| Projected value (24m) | €68k – €101k | €521k – €1.5M |
| Bargain Index | No index | 97/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | High | High |
| Data confidence | Low | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€29k – €216k Model value (performance-implied)€40k – €270k Projected value (24 months)€68k – €101k Dashed line: current market value (€100k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€0 – €298k Model value (performance-implied)€315k – €681k Projected value (24 months)€521k – €1.5M Dashed line: current market value (€900k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Nícolas and Adriel
- Adriel is 13 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- Nícolas plays in a stronger league (0.93 vs 0.58); the other's output carries more translation uncertainty.
- Adriel was used far more by the club (47% of minutes vs 16%).
- Adriel is estimated to cost far less (€64k vs €105k mid-estimate).