Dehmaine Tabibou

21 yrs · Central midfielder · France
FC Nantes · Ligue 1 · Foot: left · Height: 183 cm
Risk: HighConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: ModerateContract: until 30 Jun 2030
Market value
€5.0M
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€4.4M – €11.1M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€1.0M – €3.3M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€2.9M – €14.2M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€10.1M – -€1.2M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€4.4M – €11.1M
Model value (performance-implied)€1.0M – €3.3M
Projected value (24 months)€2.9M – €14.2M
Dashed line: current market value (€5.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Dehmaine Tabibou's performance-implied value at EUR 1.0M-3.3M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 4.4M-11.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 2.9M-14.2M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.84x the positional average in the league (1251 minutes, league coefficient 0.88). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 56

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceBelow average33.7th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeFavorable21.2 years
Acquisition costUnfavorableest. €6.2M vs market €5.0M
Expected appreciationHigh+30% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery negativeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentModeratebreakout probability 18%
League translationBig-five leagueleague coefficient 0.88
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskHigh
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €5.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1251 (41% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.07
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.18
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
34 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.88 (rank 5)
Team strength (Elo)
1304
Opponent strength
1473
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Moderate
Trajectory
insufficient
Breakout probability
18%
Resale range (24m)
€2.9M – €14.2M

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -18% (IQR -69% to +58%).

Risk profile

Overall: High

  • ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
  • ⚠Limited sample: 1251 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26FC NantesLigue 1CM27125141%100.070.18147313040.88
2024/25FC NantesLigue 1CM12883%000.000.22140213570.88

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Andrija Balic
Serie A · 2018
21€3.5M€1.1Mfell
Manolo Portanova
Serie A · 2022
22€2.5M€400kfell
Ayman Kari
Ligue 1 · 2024
20€4.0M€4.0Mflat
Claud Adjapong
Serie A · 2018
20€4.0M€2.7Mfell
Joaquín Correa
Serie A · 2016
22€6.5M€10.0Mrose
Ibrahim Sangaré
Ligue 1 · 2018
21€5.0M€9.5Mrose
Wilfried Singo
Serie A · 2021
21€7.0M€12.0Mrose
José Mauri
Serie A · 2017
21€3.5M€1.0Mfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jul 2024FC Nantes BFC NantesUnknown€50k
1 Jul 2023FC Nantes U19FC Nantes BUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2022FC Nantes U17FC Nantes U19UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2020Sarcelles Jgd.FC Nantes U17Free / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2019BMSF JugendSarcelles Jgd.Free / loanData unavailable
1 Sept 2015FC Bourget Jgd.BMSF JugendFree / loanData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.

Dehmaine Tabibou · MoneyballAI